1. Division — Kazakhstan
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Khan Tengri

—

Jaiyq

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.94) 1.34 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.3% 26.6% 71.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
33.4%
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 2
22.4%
Score & goals probability table
Jaiyq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Khan Tengri 0 24.9% 33.4% 22.4% 10.0% 3.3% 0.9%
1 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Jaiyq carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 96 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Khan Tengri +7.3, Jaiyq +21.9.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Khan Tengri Elo 1378.9 · +7.3
vs
Jaiyq Elo 1510.2 · +21.9
Elo gapJaiyq +96
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo2889.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2889.1
Elo home share 36%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Khan Tengri Jaiyq
Overall Elo1378.91510.2
Form Elo1396.51558.1
Home / Away Elo1457.61507.7
Attack Elo1430.31492.8
Defense Elo13371506.6
Last 5 Elo change+7.3+21.9

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Khan Tengri last-5 Elo change: +7.3; Jaiyq last-5 Elo change: +21.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKhan TengriJaiyq
Played22
Form33%100%
Attack33%13%
Defense67%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.50 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Khan Tengri Jaiyq
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws100%100%100%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
Khan TengriDD
JaiyqWW

League goals

Metric Khan Tengri Jaiyq
HATHAT
GF total235112
GF avg2.03.02.51.01.01.0
GA total235000
GA avg2.03.02.50.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKhan TengriJaiyq
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%100%0%0%
2.550%50%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKhan TengriJaiyq
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricKhan TengriJaiyq
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKhan TengriJaiyq
Wins02
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-00-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For2311
Goals Against2300

Model comparison

MetricKhan TengriJaiyq
Form25%75%
Att71%29%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.0%52.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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