First League — Russia
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 11:00 • Yekaterinburg Arena
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.24) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 13.3% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.0%
3 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralChayka
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack30%35%
Defense55%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ural Chayka
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins58%43%50%15%15%15%
Draws25%21%23%23%31%27%
Loses17%36%27%62%54%58%

Form: Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLWWWWWLDDLDWLL • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWLLLLLLDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Ural Chayka
HATHAT
GF total211536111425
GF avg1.81.11.40.81.11.0
GA total111627282654
GA avg0.91.11.02.22.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%58%62%81%
1.542%23%27%50%
2.512%12%8%38%
3.54%8%0%27%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511235
Failed to score1455510

Penalties

MetricUralChayka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricUralChayka
Wins51
Draws23
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-10-3
Biggest losses2-45-10-64-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against4565

Model comparison

MetricUralChayka
Form36%64%
Att46%54%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ural or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ 1xBet
Draw5.60 @ 1xBet
Away9.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.18 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ural = 2.91 (league 1.24), Chayka = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 9.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1