Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 19:00 • Spotify Camp Nou
First Half
Expected Goals
5.92 (league 1.82) 1.85 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 4.8% 3.7%
best score tips
5 - 1
4.7%
5 - 2
4.4%
4 - 1
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.6% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack72%60%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

69%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played55106612
Wins80%40%60%83%17%50%
Draws0%40%20%0%33%17%
Loses20%20%20%17%50%33%

Form: Barcelona: WLWDLWWWDW • Atletico Madrid: LWLWWWDLDWWL

League goals

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total201030201131
GF avg4.02.03.03.31.82.6
GA total7101781624
GA avg1.42.01.71.32.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%100%92%100%
1.570%50%75%58%
2.550%20%50%33%
3.540%0%25%8%
4.520%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-22-45-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-24-0
Goals For7453
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Form65%35%
Att55%45%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +2.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw5.20 @ 1xBet
Away5.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 5.92 (league 1.82), Atletico Madrid = 1.85 (league 1.36)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.6% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 3.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1