Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 19:00 •
Metropolitano Stadium
Expected Goals
3.61 (league 1.83)
1.90 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.0%
3 - 2
5.7%
4 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Barcelona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 83% | 100% |
| Defense | 39% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
94%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 83% | 17% | 50% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Form: Atletico Madrid: LWLWWWDLDWWL • Barcelona: WLWDLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 100% | 90% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 58% | 70% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 8% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 7-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barcelona and +2.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 3.61 (league 1.83), Barcelona = 1.90 (league 1.37)
| Barcelona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 15.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1