Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Expected Goals
3.66 (league 1.20)
0.92 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
7.7%
4 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Choloma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olancho | 0 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 29% |
| Defense | 82% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 44% | 16% | 30% | 24% | 6% | 15% |
| Draws | 44% | 42% | 43% | 24% | 19% | 21% |
| Loses | 11% | 42% | 27% | 53% | 75% | 64% |
Form: Olancho: LWDWWDDWDWDDLDLDLLDWLDWLLDDWWDLDWDWDL • Atlético Choloma: LDLLWLLLWLLWLDLLLLLLLDDDLLWLLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 23 | 59 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 21 | 28 | 49 | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olancho | Atlético Choloma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 84% | 58% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 38% | 30% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 8% | 3% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 3% | 3% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 2-7 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olancho | Atlético Choloma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 85% | 15% |
| Total | 70.8% | 29.2% |
Advice: Winner : Olancho
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Olancho = 3.66 (league 1.20), Atlético Choloma = 0.92 (league 1.04)
| Atlético Choloma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olancho | 0 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 5.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1