Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Excelsior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.20) 1.64 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 24.1% 44.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense FC 0 5.1% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.8% 11.2% 9.2% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.4% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack63%100%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Platense FC CD Marathon
HATHAT
Played181937202040
Wins33%21%27%70%30%50%
Draws44%21%32%20%50%35%
Loses22%58%41%10%20%15%

Form: Platense FC: WLWWLWDLLDDLWDLLWWWDDLDLDLDDDWLDLLWLL • CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLWWWWDWDLDWDLDDDLWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Platense FC CD Marathon
HATHAT
GF total292655383472
GF avg1.61.41.51.91.71.8
GA total183048122032
GA avg1.01.61.30.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlatense FCCD Marathon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%84%83%53%
1.538%38%58%23%
2.519%8%25%5%
3.514%0%8%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
HATHAT
Clean sheets42612719
Failed to score268257

Penalties

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%12 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total212

Streaks

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Wins34
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-47-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-22-0
Goals For4474
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Form23%77%
Att38%62%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total31.3%68.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Platense FC = 1.33 (league 1.20), CD Marathon = 1.64 (league 1.03)

CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense FC 0 5.1% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.8% 11.2% 9.2% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.4% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 44.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1