Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 01:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.23)
1.91 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3% | 21.6% | 40.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| CD Olimpia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Espana | 0 | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
CD Olimpia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 25 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Real Espana +18.1, CD Olimpia +42.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Real Espana
vs
CD Olimpia
Elo gapCD Olimpia +25
Home / draw / away33% / 27% / 40%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo3208.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3208.9
Elo home share
46%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1574.7 | 1634.2 |
| Form Elo | 1592 | 1650.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1534.4 | 1559.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1525.4 | 1681.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1585.6 | 1582.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.1 | +42.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Real Espana last-5 Elo change: +18.1; CD Olimpia last-5 Elo change: +42.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 58% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| Wins | 62% | 24% | 43% | 62% | 59% | 60% |
| Draws | 19% | 43% | 31% | 33% | 23% | 28% |
| Loses | 19% | 33% | 26% | 5% | 18% | 12% |
Real EspanaWLWWDLLLDWDWDWLLWLWDLWDLWWDWDWWDDWLWDWDLDW
CD OlimpiaWWWDDWLWDWWWDWWWLWDWWDWDWWDDWLLWLDWWDWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 28 | 65 | 36 | 43 | 79 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 20 | 27 | 47 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 88% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 29% | 60% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 14% | 19% | 2% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 2% | 5% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Espana | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.32 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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