Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 19:00 • Selhurst Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.61) 1.18 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 31.1% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.6%
0 - 0
17.4%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 17.4% 20.6% 12.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrystal PalaceFiorentina
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack58%75%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crystal Palace Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%67%67%67%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses17%17%17%33%33%33%

Form: Crystal Palace: WDWLWLWDDWDW • Fiorentina: WWWWLLWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Crystal Palace Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total8917111223
GF avg1.31.51.41.82.01.9
GA total4489413
GA avg0.70.70.71.50.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrystal PalaceFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%83%67%
1.550%17%75%25%
2.517%0%33%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrystal PalaceFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets336134
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricCrystal PalaceFiorentina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCrystal PalaceFiorentina
Wins14
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-12-42-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricCrystal PalaceFiorentina
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Crystal Palace or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away5.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace = 0.57 (league 1.61), Fiorentina = 1.18 (league 1.18)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 17.4% 20.6% 12.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 51.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1