Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.61) 1.52 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 25.9% 50.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 8.6% 13.1% 9.9% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.7% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShakhtar DonetskAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack67%83%
Defense67%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played55108816
Wins20%100%60%88%50%69%
Draws40%0%20%13%0%6%
Loses40%0%20%0%50%25%

Form: Shakhtar Donetsk: DWWLWWWDWL • AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLWLWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total51217211435
GF avg1.02.41.72.61.82.2
GA total551021214
GA avg1.01.01.00.31.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShakhtar DonetskAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%81%38%
1.560%30%63%19%
2.520%0%44%19%
3.50%0%25%13%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShakhtar DonetskAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets2136410
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricShakhtar DonetskAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShakhtar DonetskAZ Alkmaar
Wins35
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-00-4
Biggest losses1-2——4-0
Goals For2354
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricShakhtar DonetskAZ Alkmaar
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shakhtar Donetsk = 0.93 (league 1.61), AZ Alkmaar = 1.52 (league 1.18)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 8.6% 13.1% 9.9% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.7% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 50.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1