Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.63)
1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.3% | 21.2% | 63.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Crystal Palace | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina | 0 | 6.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 60% | 53% |
| Defense | 40% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 57% | 62% | 57% | 50% | 54% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 33% | 43% | 38% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
FiorentinaWWWWLLWLWLWWL
Crystal PalaceWDWLWLWDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 69% | 77% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | 54% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 15% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.80 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.03 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…