Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.78 (league 1.24)
0.41 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Budaiya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muharraq | 0 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Muharraq carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 234 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Muharraq +30.0, Budaiya -10.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Muharraq
vs
Budaiya
Elo gapMuharraq +234
Home / draw / away65% / 18% / 17%
Expected home share79%
Combined Elo3122.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3122.9
Elo home share
79%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1660.7 | 1462.2 |
| Form Elo | 1682.5 | 1455.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1557.2 | 1511.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1744.3 | 1478.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1676.5 | 1458.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +30.0 | -10.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Muharraq last-5 Elo change: +30.0; Budaiya last-5 Elo change: -10.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 38% |
| Defense | 92% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 67% | 78% | 72% | 11% | 56% | 33% |
| Draws | 22% | 22% | 22% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 11% | 0% | 6% | 56% | 44% | 50% |
MuharraqWWDWDWWWLWDWWWWDWW
BudaiyaDLWLDWDLLLWWLWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 15 | 38 | 7 | 15 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muharraq | Budaiya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 28% | 61% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 0% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muharraq | Budaiya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 72% | 28% |
| Def | 90% | 10% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 78.5% | 21.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ Unibet
Draw5.80 @ Pinnacle
Away11.80 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.66 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…