Western Australia State League 1 — Australia
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 11:00 • Litis Stadium
Not Started

Floreat Athena

—

Curtin University

Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.73) 0.05 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 50.6% 2.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.0%
1 - 0
32.5%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Curtin University
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floreat Athena 0 49.0% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.5% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Floreat Athena carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Floreat Athena +43.7, Curtin University -25.9.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Floreat Athena Elo 1447.1 · +43.7
vs
Curtin University Elo 1417.6 · -25.9
Elo gapFloreat Athena +65
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2864.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2864.7
Elo home share 59%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Floreat Athena Curtin University
Overall Elo1447.11417.6
Form Elo1494.41391.4
Home / Away Elo1451.51514.3
Attack Elo1500.21447.9
Defense Elo1419.41443.3
Last 5 Elo change+43.7-25.9

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Floreat Athena last-5 Elo change: +43.7; Curtin University last-5 Elo change: -25.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFloreat AthenaCurtin University
Played44
Form83%8%
Attack33%0%
Defense86%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floreat Athena Curtin University
HATHAT
Played314224
Wins100%0%75%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%0%0%100%50%75%
Floreat AthenaWWDW
Curtin UniversityLLDL

League goals

Metric Floreat Athena Curtin University
HATHAT
GF total707000
GF avg2.30.01.80.00.00.0
GA total303314
GA avg1.00.00.81.50.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFloreat AthenaCurtin University
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%0%75%
1.575%0%0%25%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFloreat AthenaCurtin University
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricFloreat AthenaCurtin University
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFloreat AthenaCurtin University
Wins20
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1———
Biggest losses——0-21-0
Goals For3000
Goals Against1021

Model comparison

MetricFloreat AthenaCurtin University
Form91%9%
Att100%0%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total74.0%26.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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