Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.77)
0.71 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4% | 48.6% | 49.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
46.9%
0 - 1
33.2%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| TIL 2020 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kolbotn W | 0 | 46.9% | 33.2% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
TIL 2020 W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kolbotn W +31.4, TIL 2020 W +21.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Kolbotn W
vs
TIL 2020 W
Elo gapTIL 2020 W +68
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2914.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2914.9
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1406.2 | 1508.7 |
| Form Elo | 1476.4 | 1535.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1455.3 | 1487.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1482.3 | 1575.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1276.7 | 1437.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +31.4 | +21.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Kolbotn W last-5 Elo change: +31.4; TIL 2020 W last-5 Elo change: +21.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 78% |
| Attack | 78% | 44% |
| Defense | 78% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 3.5 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kolbotn WWW
TIL 2020 WWWD
League goals
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kolbotn W | TIL 2020 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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