First League
— Russia
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Centralnyy
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.25)
2.08 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 21.1% | 50.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Spartak Kostroma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernomorets | 0 | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 39% |
| Defense | 56% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 7% | 26% | 29% | 46% | 37% |
| Draws | 15% | 43% | 30% | 50% | 31% | 41% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
Form: Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWLDDLLWDWLWDLLD • Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDWLLDLDDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 13 | 31 | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 20 | 37 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 85% | 78% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 33% | 44% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 15% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chernomorets | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 40.6% | 59.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Kostroma
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets = 1.46 (league 1.25), Spartak Kostroma = 2.08 (league 1.06)
| Spartak Kostroma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernomorets | 0 | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 50.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1