First League — Russia
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 12:00 • Trud Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.25) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 31.4% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 16.5% 10.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack33%17%
Defense72%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%21%30%43%8%26%
Draws23%29%26%36%54%44%
Loses38%50%44%21%38%30%

Form: Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWLLWLWDDWDLWD • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLWDLLWDDDD

League goals

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total17143115722
GF avg1.31.01.11.10.50.8
GA total18224091423
GA avg1.41.61.50.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%78%56%56%
1.526%48%19%22%
2.57%11%4%7%
3.50%11%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets5167512
Failed to score1455712

Penalties

MetricVolga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVolga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-11-2
Biggest losses1-44-00-23-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricVolga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away3.48 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.76 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.14 (league 1.25), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 16.5% 10.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 21.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1