Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.44)
1.57 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 24.0% | 67.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.1%
0 - 2
18.1%
0 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sao Luiz U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ivoti U20 | 0 | 14.8% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Ivoti U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ivoti U20 -4.1, Sao Luiz U20 +0.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Ivoti U20
vs
Sao Luiz U20
Elo gapIvoti U20 +34
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2936.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2936.1
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1467.5 | 1468.6 |
| Form Elo | 1470.6 | 1459.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1491.8 | 1491.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1474.9 | 1459.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1475.5 | 1490.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.1 | +0.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ivoti U20 last-5 Elo change: -4.1; Sao Luiz U20 last-5 Elo change: +0.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 67% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Ivoti U20LLWLW
Sao Luiz U20WLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ivoti U20 | Sao Luiz U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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