ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns

CAF Champions League — World

Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Not Started

ES Tunis

—

Mamelodi Sundowns

Expected Goals

1.72 (league 1.26) 0.37 (league 0.76)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
70.2%	21.6%	7.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

21.3%

2 - 0

18.3%

0 - 0

12.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Mamelodi Sundowns
		0	1	2	3	4	5
ES Tunis	0	12.4%	4.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	21.3%	7.9%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	18.3%	6.8%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	10.5%	3.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	4.5%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	ES Tunis	Mamelodi Sundowns
Played	5	5
Form	67%	47%
Attack	67%	58%
Defense	58%	58%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%

FT probability

2.5+

49%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

60%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	ES Tunis			Mamelodi Sundowns
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	6	12	5	5	10
Wins	83%	50%	67%	80%	20%	50%
Draws	17%	33%	25%	20%	40%	30%
Loses	0%	17%	8%	0%	40%	20%

Form: ES Tunis: WWWWDDWDLWWW • Mamelodi Sundowns: WWWDDLDWWL

League goals

Metric	ES Tunis			Mamelodi Sundowns
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	10	21	12	7	19
GF avg	1.8	1.7	1.8	2.4	1.4	1.9
GA total	1	6	7	3	6	9
GA avg	0.2	1.0	0.6	0.6	1.2	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	ES Tunis		Mamelodi Sundowns
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	83%	42%	80%	60%
1.5	50%	17%	60%	30%
2.5	33%	0%	30%	0%
3.5	8%	0%	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	10%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	ES Tunis			Mamelodi Sundowns
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	2	7	3	1	4
Failed to score	1	1	2	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	ES Tunis	Mamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0

Streaks

Metric	ES Tunis	Mamelodi Sundowns
Wins	4	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	0-3	3-0	1-5
Biggest losses	—	1-0	—	2-0
Goals For	4	3	3	5
Goals Against	1	2	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	ES Tunis	Mamelodi Sundowns
Form	59%	41%
Att	53%	47%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	85%	15%
H2h	64%	36%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	63.0%	37.0%

Advice: Double chance : ES Tunis or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Dafabet

Draw3.05 @ Dafabet

Away4.10 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill

No1.62 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

William Hill Updated: 2026-04-11T20:02:27+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.91
Draw	2.90
Away	3.90

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.50
Draw	2.10
Away	4.00

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.60
Under 1.5	1.25
Over 2.5	11.00
Under 2.5	1.04
Over 0.5	1.53
Under 0.5	2.38

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.20
No	1.60

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.00
2:0	8.00
2:1	8.00
3:0	17.00
3:1	21.00
3:2	36.00
4:0	46.00
4:1	56.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	6.00
2:2	21.00
0:1	8.00
0:2	19.00
0:3	56.00
1:2	13.00
1:3	46.00
2:3	56.00
3:3	101.00
0:4	126.00
1:4	101.00
2:4	126.00
4:2	91.00
0:5	151.00
0:6	151.00
1:5	151.00
1:6	151.00
2:5	151.00
2:6	151.00
3:4	151.00
5:0	101.00
5:1	101.00
5:2	151.00
6:0	151.00
6:1	151.00
6:2	151.00
4:3	126.00
4:4	151.00
7:0	151.00
7:1	151.00
8:0	151.00
9:0	151.00
10:0	151.00
0:7	151.00
0:8	151.00
1:7	151.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.22
Home/Away	1.35
Draw/Away	1.75

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.70
Draw	1.95
Away	4.33

Bet ID 32 — Win Both Halves

Selection	Odds
Home	6.50
Away	17.00

Bet ID 24 — Results/Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Home/Yes	5.50
Draw/Yes	5.00
Away/Yes	10.00

Betfair Updated: 2026-04-11T20:02:27+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.91
Draw	3.00
Away	3.90

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.47
Under 1.5	2.63
Over 2.5	2.55
Under 2.5	1.45
Over 3.5	5.50
Under 3.5	1.14
Over 0.5	1.08
Under 0.5	7.50
Over 4.5	11.00
Under 4.5	1.04

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.50
Under 1.5	1.25
Over 2.5	9.50
Under 2.5	1.04
Over 0.5	1.50
Under 0.5	2.50

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	41.00
Draw/Away	8.00
Draw/Draw	4.33
Home/Home	3.25
Draw/Home	4.50
Away/Home	23.00
Away/Draw	13.00
Away/Away	6.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.20
No	1.62

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.00
Away -1	1.73
Draw -1	3.50

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.00
2:0	7.00
2:1	7.50
3:0	14.00
3:1	15.00
3:2	34.00
4:0	41.00
4:1	46.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	5.50
2:2	15.00
0:1	7.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	51.00
1:2	11.00
1:3	36.00
2:3	46.00
3:3	101.00
1:4	176.00
4:2	91.00
5:0	151.00
5:1	151.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.20
Home/Away	1.30
Draw/Away	1.73

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.70
Draw	1.91
Away	4.50

Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals

Selection	Odds
Draw/Over 1.5	4.50
Away/Over 1.5	6.00
Home/Over 1.5	2.80
Home/Under 1.5	5.50
Draw/Under 1.5	7.00
Away/Under 1.5	8.50
Home/Over 2.5	4.00
Draw/Over 2.5	17.00
Away/Over 2.5	8.00
Home/Under 2.5	3.50
Draw/Under 2.5	3.50
Away/Under 2.5	6.00
Draw/Over 3.5	17.00
Home/Over 3.5	8.50
Away/Over 3.5	20.00
Home/Under 3.5	2.40
Draw/Under 3.5	3.50
Away/Under 3.5	4.50
Home/Over 4.5	15.00
Draw/Over 4.5	126.00
Away/Over 4.5	36.00
Home/Under 4.5	2.10
Draw/Under 4.5	3.10
Away/Under 4.5	4.00

Selection	Odds
Home	1.99
Draw	3.05
Away	4.10

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns

Expected goals (λ): ES Tunis = 1.72 (league 1.26), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.37 (league 0.76)

		Mamelodi Sundowns
		0	1	2	3	4	5
ES Tunis	0	12.4%	4.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	21.3%	7.9%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	18.3%	6.8%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	10.5%	3.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	4.5%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 7.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	ES Tunis	Mamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0