Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.22) 0.39 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 20.9% 7.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 11.5% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack62%54%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Tunis Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played66125510
Wins83%50%67%80%20%50%
Draws17%33%25%20%40%30%
Loses0%17%8%0%40%20%
ES TunisWWWWDDWDLWWW
Mamelodi SundownsWWWDDLDWWL

League goals

Metric ES Tunis Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total11102112719
GF avg1.81.71.82.41.41.9
GA total167369
GA avg0.21.00.60.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%80%60%
1.550%17%60%30%
2.533%0%30%0%
3.58%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets527314
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
Wins43
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-01-5
Biggest losses—1-0—2-0
Goals For4335
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
Form59%41%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total63.0%37.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away5.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.64 @ Unibet
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League standings

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