Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 07:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.56)
0.44 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 51.5% | 26.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
43.8%
0 - 1
19.3%
1 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Torpedo Vladimir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Irkutsk | 0 | 43.8% | 19.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Irkutsk carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Irkutsk -36.1, Torpedo Vladimir -20.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Irkutsk
vs
Torpedo Vladimir
Elo gapIrkutsk +77
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3000.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3000.4
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1521.4 | 1479 |
| Form Elo | 1468.5 | 1454.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1524.1 | 1475.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1580.2 | 1433.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1532.3 | 1539.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -36.1 | -20.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Irkutsk last-5 Elo change: -36.1; Torpedo Vladimir last-5 Elo change: -20.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 0% | 25% |
| Attack | 8% | 31% |
| Defense | 54% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
IrkutskLLL
Torpedo VladimirLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Irkutsk | Torpedo Vladimir |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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