Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.56) 2.24 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.6% 20.0% 43.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tver
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kosmos Dolgoprudny 0 1.6% 3.5% 3.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.0% 6.7% 7.5% 5.6% 3.1% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.4% 7.2% 5.4% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Kosmos Dolgoprudny -9.6, Tver -11.0.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Kosmos Dolgoprudny Elo 1444 · -9.6
vs
Tver Elo 1471.3 · -11.0
Elo gapKosmos Dolgoprudny +8
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2915.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2915.3
Elo home share 51%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Kosmos Dolgoprudny Tver
Overall Elo14441471.3
Form Elo1432.71448.1
Home / Away Elo1485.21479.1
Attack Elo1446.71479.7
Defense Elo1465.91445.9
Last 5 Elo change-9.6-11.0

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Kosmos Dolgoprudny last-5 Elo change: -9.6; Tver last-5 Elo change: -11.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKosmos DolgoprudnyTver
Played43
Form25%33%
Attack31%38%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.39 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kosmos Dolgoprudny Tver
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws50%100%75%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%50%100%67%
Kosmos DolgoprudnyDDLD
TverWLL

League goals

Metric Kosmos Dolgoprudny Tver
HATHAT
GF total224505
GF avg1.01.01.02.50.01.7
GA total325639
GA avg1.51.01.33.03.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKosmos DolgoprudnyTver
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%67%100%
1.525%25%33%100%
2.50%0%33%100%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKosmos DolgoprudnyTver
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricKosmos DolgoprudnyTver
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKosmos DolgoprudnyTver
Wins01
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-3—
Biggest losses0-1—1-33-0
Goals For2140
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricKosmos DolgoprudnyTver
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total55.0%45.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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