Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.56)
2.24 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 20.0% | 43.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Tver | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 0 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Kosmos Dolgoprudny -9.6, Tver -11.0.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
vs
Tver
Elo gapKosmos Dolgoprudny +8
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2915.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2915.3
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1444 | 1471.3 |
| Form Elo | 1432.7 | 1448.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1485.2 | 1479.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1446.7 | 1479.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1465.9 | 1445.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.6 | -11.0 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Kosmos Dolgoprudny last-5 Elo change: -9.6; Tver last-5 Elo change: -11.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 25% | 33% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 9 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Kosmos DolgoprudnyDDLD
TverWLL
League goals
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 33% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-3 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Tver |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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