Sun, May 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.54)
0.89 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 38.9% | 48.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.8%
0 - 1
26.4%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Kosmos Dolgoprudny | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Moscow 2 | 0 | 29.8% | 26.4% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Spartak Moscow 2 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 75 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Moscow 2 -28.7, Kosmos Dolgoprudny -23.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Spartak Moscow 2
vs
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Elo gapSpartak Moscow 2 +75
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2901.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2901.6
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1470.9 | 1430.7 |
| Form Elo | 1437.4 | 1406.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1530.9 | 1467.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1499 | 1433.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1527 | 1459 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -28.7 | -23.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Spartak Moscow 2 last-5 Elo change: -28.7; Kosmos Dolgoprudny last-5 Elo change: -23.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 8% | 20% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 13% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
Spartak Moscow 2DLLL
Kosmos DolgoprudnyDDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Moscow 2 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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