Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.50)
0.53 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.2% | 37.5% | 21.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.8%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Rotor-2 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orel | 0 | 24.8% | 13.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Orel carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 138 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Orel +14.4, Rotor-2 -14.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Orel
vs
Rotor-2
Elo gapOrel +138
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2897.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2897.5
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1500 | 1397.5 |
| Form Elo | 1516.9 | 1372.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1487.7 | 1451.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1576.7 | 1407.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1430.6 | 1435.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.4 | -14.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Orel last-5 Elo change: +14.4; Rotor-2 last-5 Elo change: -14.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 25% |
| Attack | 53% | 16% |
| Defense | 68% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 25% | 100% | 67% | 75% |
OrelWLDW
Rotor-2WLLL
League goals
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Orel | Rotor-2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-5 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-3 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Orel | Rotor-2 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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