Jupiler Pro League — Belgium
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 17:15 • Elindus Arena
Not Started

Zulte Waregem

—

RAAL La Louvière

Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.42) 1.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 26.7% 31.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.2%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
RAAL La Louvière
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zulte Waregem 0 8.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.2% 12.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Zulte Waregem carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 62 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Zulte Waregem +26.2, RAAL La Louvière -28.5.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Zulte Waregem Elo 1495.6 · +26.2
vs
RAAL La Louvière Elo 1468.7 · -28.5
Elo gapZulte Waregem +62
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2964.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2964.3
Elo home share 59%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Zulte Waregem RAAL La Louvière
Overall Elo1495.61468.7
Form Elo1498.31445.3
Home / Away Elo1506.21502.9
Attack Elo1560.51451.5
Defense Elo1499.71532.3
Last 5 Elo change+26.2-28.5

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Zulte Waregem last-5 Elo change: +26.2; RAAL La Louvière last-5 Elo change: -28.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZulte WaregemRAAL La Louvière
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack47%53%
Defense67%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zulte Waregem RAAL La Louvière
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%24%30%18%19%18%
Draws25%29%27%41%38%39%
Loses38%47%42%41%44%42%
Zulte WaregemDLWLLLWWWDWDLDDDDDLLWLLWLLLLLWDWW
RAAL La LouvièreLLWLDLWWDDDDWLLDLDLDWLDLDLDDWDLLL

League goals

Metric Zulte Waregem RAAL La Louvière
HATHAT
GF total212344121830
GF avg1.31.41.30.71.10.9
GA total212950192443
GA avg1.31.71.51.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZulte WaregemRAAL La Louvière
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%79%55%70%
1.545%45%21%42%
2.59%18%9%12%
3.53%9%3%3%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZulte WaregemRAAL La Louvière
HATHAT
Clean sheets4377310
Failed to score44810515

Penalties

MetricZulte WaregemRAAL La Louvière
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricZulte WaregemRAAL La Louvière
Wins32
Draws54
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-11-3
Biggest losses1-43-10-23-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricZulte WaregemRAAL La Louvière
Form71%29%
Att47%53%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total64.2%35.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Zulte Waregem vs RAAL La Louvière