Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 11:30 • Achter de Kazerne
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.47) 1.06 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 32.4% 43.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 17.0% 18.1% 9.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 12.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack50%67%
Defense25%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins40%38%39%94%33%65%
Draws40%25%32%6%53%29%
Loses20%38%29%0%13%6%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWWLDLDDWLWWLWLD • Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWWDWLDDWDWDWWDWDWWWW

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total192140331851
GF avg1.31.31.32.11.21.6
GA total16223851217
GA avg1.11.41.20.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%74%84%52%
1.532%29%52%3%
2.510%16%19%0%
3.50%3%6%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets44811415
Failed to score224055

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Wins24
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-1—1-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3412

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Form35%65%
Att43%57%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.97 @ 1xBet
Away1.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 0.71 (league 1.47), Union St. Gilloise = 1.06 (league 1.24)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 17.0% 18.1% 9.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 12.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 43.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1