Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:30 •
Lotto Park
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.47)
1.09 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 21.6% | 20.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Anderlecht | 0 | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 92% | 75% |
| Defense | 8% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 25% | 39% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 27% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 35% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
Form: Anderlecht: WWLWLDDWDWDLWWWWLWDLLDLLDWWDLLL • Gent: LWLDDWWLWWLWLDDLDLLWWWDLWLLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 20 | 45 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Anderlecht | Gent | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 68% | 81% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 45% | 42% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 16% | 26% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 13% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Anderlecht or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.88 @ 1xBet
Away3.85 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.33 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Anderlecht = 1.97 (league 1.47), Gent = 1.09 (league 1.24)
| Gent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Anderlecht | 0 | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 20.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1