Super League 1
— Greece
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.40)
0.91 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5% | 31.4% | 31.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Panetolikos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kifisia | 0 | 14.4% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Kifisia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kifisia -22.9, Panetolikos -17.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Kifisia
vs
Panetolikos
Elo gapKifisia +69
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2948.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2948.8
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1491.5 | 1457.3 |
| Form Elo | 1480.7 | 1453.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.9 | 1492.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1436.2 | 1419 |
| Defense Elo | 1544 | 1504.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.9 | -17.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Kifisia last-5 Elo change: -22.9; Panetolikos last-5 Elo change: -17.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 14% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Draws | 33% | 47% | 40% | 13% | 27% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 47% | 53% |
KifisiaLDWLWLDDWLLWDDDDLLLDDWLLWLLDDD
PanetolikosLWLDLLWDLWDLWLLLLLLWWLLWDDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kifisia | Panetolikos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 80% | 53% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 43% | 27% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 23% | 13% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 80.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 20.00% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kifisia | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away3.70 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.27 @ Betano
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…