Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Luis Troccoli
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.15)
0.49 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0% | 49.1% | 27.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.4%
0 - 1
19.7%
1 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Defensor Sporting | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cerro | 0 | 40.3% | 19.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 17% | 25% |
| Defense | 33% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 11% | 50% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 22% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Loses | 40% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
CerroLLDDLLLWL
Defensor SportingDWWLDLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 89% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 22% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cerro | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 34.3% | 65.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…