Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.15) 2.22 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 18.5% 66.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wanderers 0 4.7% 10.5% 11.6% 8.6% 4.7% 2.1%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.7% 7.2% 4.0% 1.8%
2 1.7% 3.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWanderersRacing Montevideo
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack47%47%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-6
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wanderers Racing Montevideo
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%40%40%67%75%70%
Draws40%0%20%17%25%20%
Loses20%60%40%17%0%10%
WanderersDWLWDLWLWL
Racing MontevideoLDWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Wanderers Racing Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total651111718
GF avg1.21.01.11.81.81.8
GA total6915639
GA avg1.21.81.51.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWanderersRacing Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%100%60%
1.530%40%50%10%
2.510%20%20%10%
3.50%20%10%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWanderersRacing Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricWanderersRacing Montevideo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWanderersRacing Montevideo
Wins15
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-44-12-4—
Goals For3243
Goals Against4441

Model comparison

MetricWanderersRacing Montevideo
Form32%68%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.0%61.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
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League standings

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