Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Parque Artigas
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.14)
1.23 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 29.1% | 43.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Progreso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juventud | 0 | 11.8% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 25% | 10% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 80% | 80% | 80% | 67% | 25% | 50% |
JuventudLDLLWLLLLL
ProgresoLLLDDWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Juventud | Progreso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 50% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 50% | 30% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Juventud | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…