Copa Norte
— Brazil
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Evandro Almeida
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.26)
0.55 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.2% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Galvez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Remo | 0 | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Remo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 53 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Remo -2.4, Galvez -29.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Remo
vs
Galvez
Elo gapRemo +53
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo3045.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3045.1
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Remo | Galvez |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1531.6 | 1513.5 |
| Form Elo | 1520.8 | 1492.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.4 | 1514.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1551.8 | 1555.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1548.1 | 1438.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.4 | -29.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Remo last-5 Elo change: -2.4; Galvez last-5 Elo change: -29.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Remo | Galvez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 25% |
| Attack | 19% | 38% |
| Defense | 76% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 15 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Remo | Galvez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
RemoLDWL
GalvezLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Remo | Galvez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Remo | Galvez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Remo | Galvez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Remo | Galvez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Remo | Galvez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 6-3 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Remo | Galvez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…