Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Operario-PR

Copa Sul-Sudeste — Brazil

Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio Lourival Gomes

Not Started

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

—

Operario-PR

Expected Goals

0.40 (league 1.13) 0.32 (league 0.78)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
25.3%	55.2%	19.5%

best score tips

0 - 0

48.8%

1 - 0

19.4%

0 - 1

15.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Operario-PR
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sampaio Corrêa RJ	0	48.8%	15.6%	2.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	19.4%	6.2%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Sampaio Corrêa RJ -3.0, Operario-PR +4.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Elo 1528.7 · -3.0

Operario-PR Elo 1559.5 · +4.6

Elo gapSampaio Corrêa RJ +4

Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo3088.2

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3088.2

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	Operario-PR
Overall Elo	1528.7	1559.5
Form Elo	1515.2	1563.7
Home / Away Elo	1528.5	1508.1
Attack Elo	1548.6	1429.9
Defense Elo	1451.3	1632.8
Last 5 Elo change	-3.0	+4.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Sampaio Corrêa RJ last-5 Elo change: -3.0; Operario-PR last-5 Elo change: +4.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	Operario-PR
Played	4	4
Form	42%	50%
Attack	55%	18%
Defense	55%	91%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.5	2 \| 0.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1.3	1 \| 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%

FT probability

2.5+

28%

FT probability

3.5+

20%

FT probability

BTTS

46%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ			Operario-PR
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	50%	0%	25%	50%	0%	25%
Draws	50%	50%	50%	50%	100%	75%
Loses	0%	50%	25%	0%	0%	0%

Sampaio Corrêa RJWDDL

Operario-PRDWDD

League goals

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ			Operario-PR
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	3	6	2	0	2
GF avg	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.0	0.0	0.5
GA total	1	4	5	1	0	1
GA avg	0.5	2.0	1.3	0.5	0.0	0.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sampaio Corrêa RJ		Operario-PR
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	75%	50%	25%
1.5	50%	50%	0%	0%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ			Operario-PR
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	1	2	3
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	Operario-PR
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	Operario-PR
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	0	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	—	1-0	—
Biggest losses	—	2-1	—	—
Goals For	2	2	1	0
Goals Against	1	2	1	0

Model comparison

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	Operario-PR
Form	45%	55%
Att	75%	25%
Def	17%	83%
Poisson Distribution	0%	0%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	45.7%	54.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Operario-PR

Metric	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	Operario-PR
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0