1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.49) 1.20 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 29.7% 43.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 12.8% 15.3% 9.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack60%80%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins69%50%59%64%62%63%
Draws8%36%22%21%15%19%
Loses23%14%19%14%23%19%

Form: Apollon Limassol: LLWWLWWDLWWDDLWWWWWWWWWDWDD • AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWWLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
GF total211637282250
GF avg1.61.11.42.01.71.9
GA total111223121022
GA avg0.80.90.90.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%52%89%63%
1.537%26%56%11%
2.511%7%22%4%
3.54%0%15%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets67136410
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Wins94
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-12-42-1
Goals For4254
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Form47%53%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals23%77%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Larnaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apollon Limassol = 0.86 (league 1.49), AEK Larnaca = 1.20 (league 1.13)

AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 12.8% 15.3% 9.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 43.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1