1. Division — Cyprus
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 16:00 • AEK Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.48) 1.89 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 22.4% 48.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Omonia Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 3.9% 7.4% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack73%100%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Nicosia
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%57%61%79%64%71%
Draws21%21%21%21%14%18%
Loses14%21%18%0%21%11%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWWLLDWWWD • Omonia Nicosia: LWWWWDWWWDLWWDWWWWWWWWLDWWDW

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Nicosia
HATHAT
GF total282351343367
GF avg2.01.61.82.42.42.4
GA total12112351419
GA avg0.90.80.80.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%64%89%43%
1.554%11%71%21%
2.521%4%39%4%
3.514%4%25%0%
4.54%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
HATHAT
Clean sheets641010616
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total77

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Wins48
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-45-00-5
Biggest losses2-42-1—2-0
Goals For5455
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Omonia Nicosia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.01 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 1.35 (league 1.48), Omonia Nicosia = 1.89 (league 1.14)

Omonia Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 3.9% 7.4% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 48.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1