1. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 15:00 •
Stelios Kyriakidis
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.48)
0.98 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 29.2% | 30.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AEK Larnaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pafos | 0 | 11.4% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 93% | 50% |
| Defense | 71% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 64% | 47% | 55% | 60% | 57% | 59% |
| Draws | 14% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 21% | 33% | 28% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
PafosWLWWWWWLWDWWWWLWLLLWLWDDWWDLD
AEK LarnacaWDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWWLLDWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 24 | 55 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pafos | AEK Larnaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 55% | 86% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 34% | 52% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 3% | 21% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 3% | 14% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-0 | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.11 @ Dafabet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.62 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No2.01 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…