1. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Paralimni Stadium
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.47)
1.94 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | 17.3% | 77.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.8%
0 - 2
21.2%
0 - 3
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Akritas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Enosis | 0 | 11.3% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Akritas carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Enosis -9.9, Akritas -22.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Enosis
vs
Akritas
Elo gapAkritas +100
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo2782.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2782.3
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1323.6 | 1458.7 |
| Form Elo | 1306.7 | 1448 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1405.4 | 1489.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1336.8 | 1476.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1242.5 | 1393.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.9 | -22.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Enosis last-5 Elo change: -9.9; Akritas last-5 Elo change: -22.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 25% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 0% | 7% | 3% | 21% | 33% | 28% |
| Draws | 0% | 7% | 3% | 21% | 13% | 17% |
| Loses | 100% | 87% | 93% | 57% | 53% | 55% |
EnosisLLLLLDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLL
AkritasDWLLWLDLLDWDLWWLLLLWLDWLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 28 | 45 | 73 | 26 | 27 | 53 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Enosis | Akritas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 24% | 100% | 55% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 76% | 24% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 48% | 10% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 12 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 20 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Enosis | Akritas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home13.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.60 @ Dafabet
Away1.36 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.75 @ 10Bet
No1.50 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…