Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers FC

Capital Territory NPL — Australia

Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 09:30 • Deakin Stadium

Not Started

Canberra FC

—

Cooma Tigers FC

Expected Goals

2.97 (league 2.19) 1.07 (league 1.87)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
67.6%	13.7%	10.5%

best score tips

2 - 1

8.3%

3 - 1

8.2%

2 - 0

7.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Cooma Tigers FC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Canberra FC	0	1.8%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	5.2%	5.6%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	7.8%	8.3%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	7.7%	8.2%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	5.7%	6.1%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	3.4%	3.6%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Canberra FC +25.5, Cooma Tigers FC +4.3.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Canberra FC Elo 1585.5 · +25.5

Cooma Tigers FC Elo 1616.6 · +4.3

Elo gapCanberra FC +4

Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo3202.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3202.1

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Must Watch

Metric	Canberra FC	Cooma Tigers FC
Overall Elo	1585.5	1616.6
Form Elo	1621.3	1621.1
Home / Away Elo	1507.7	1562.1
Attack Elo	1882.5	1720.9
Defense Elo	1508.1	1539.5
Last 5 Elo change	+25.5	+4.3

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Canberra FC last-5 Elo change: +25.5; Cooma Tigers FC last-5 Elo change: +4.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Canberra FC	Cooma Tigers FC
Played	4	4
Form	75%	75%
Attack	63%	74%
Defense	79%	74%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	12 \| 3	14 \| 3.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 1	5 \| 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

79%

FT probability

3.5+

56%

FT probability

BTTS

63%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Canberra FC			Cooma Tigers FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	1	3	4	3	1	4
Wins	100%	67%	75%	67%	100%	75%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	33%	25%	33%	0%	25%

Canberra FCLWWW

Cooma Tigers FCWWLW

League goals

Metric	Canberra FC			Cooma Tigers FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	7	12	12	2	14
GF avg	5.0	2.3	3.0	4.0	2.0	3.5
GA total	0	4	4	5	0	5
GA avg	0.0	1.3	1.0	1.7	0.0	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Canberra FC		Cooma Tigers FC
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	50%	100%	50%
1.5	75%	25%	100%	50%
2.5	50%	25%	50%	25%
3.5	50%	0%	25%	0%
4.5	50%	0%	25%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Canberra FC			Cooma Tigers FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	1	1	2
Failed to score	0	1	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Canberra FC	Cooma Tigers FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Canberra FC	Cooma Tigers FC
Wins	0	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	1-5	7-0	0-2
Biggest losses	—	3-0	2-3	—
Goals For	5	5	7	2
Goals Against	0	3	3	0

Model comparison

Metric	Canberra FC	Cooma Tigers FC
Form	50%	50%
Att	46%	54%
Def	56%	44%
Poisson Distribution	0%	0%
H2h	60%	40%
Goals	59%	41%
Total	54.2%	45.8%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betano

Draw4.20 @ Betfair

Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Betano

Under 2.53.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.31 @ Betano

No3.52 @ 1xBet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers FC

Metric	Canberra FC	Cooma Tigers FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0