Botola 2 — Morocco
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.10) 0.57 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 22.4% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
15.1%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chabab Ben Guerir
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Oujda 0 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.2% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM OujdaChabab Ben Guerir
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Oujda Chabab Ben Guerir
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins30%20%25%50%0%25%
Draws50%30%40%30%30%30%
Loses20%50%35%20%70%45%

Form: USM Oujda: LDDDLLLLWWLDWWDDLWDD • Chabab Ben Guerir: DWLDLWLLWLWLDLLLDDDW

League goals

Metric USM Oujda Chabab Ben Guerir
HATHAT
GF total1282013518
GF avg1.20.81.01.30.50.9
GA total9112081624
GA avg0.91.11.00.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM OujdaChabab Ben Guerir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%65%70%70%
1.530%30%10%40%
2.520%5%5%10%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM OujdaChabab Ben Guerir
HATHAT
Clean sheets437516
Failed to score4610156

Penalties

MetricUSM OujdaChabab Ben Guerir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUSM OujdaChabab Ben Guerir
Wins21
Draws33
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-0—
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-1
Goals For3341
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricUSM OujdaChabab Ben Guerir
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : USM Oujda or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Dafabet
Draw2.80 @ Betfair
Away3.75 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Superbet
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.97 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.31 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Oujda = 1.75 (league 1.10), Chabab Ben Guerir = 0.57 (league 0.79)

Chabab Ben Guerir
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Oujda 0 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.2% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 11.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1