Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 18:45 • Strawberry Arena
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.90) 1.65 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.2% 21.4% 73.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.8%
0 - 2
21.3%
0 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Poland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sweden 0 15.7% 25.8% 21.3% 11.7% 4.8% 1.6%
1 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwedenPoland
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack26%58%
Defense53%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sweden Poland
HATHAT
Played347549
Wins0%25%14%80%50%67%
Draws33%25%29%20%25%22%
Loses67%50%57%0%25%11%

Form: Sweden: DLLLLDW • Poland: WWLDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Sweden Poland
HATHAT
GF total1679716
GF avg0.31.51.01.81.81.8
GA total4913358
GA avg1.32.31.90.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwedenPoland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%100%100%67%
1.529%57%56%22%
2.514%14%22%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwedenPoland
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricSwedenPoland
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSwedenPoland
Wins02
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-1—2-1
Goals For1333
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricSwedenPoland
Form24%76%
Att31%69%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Poland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 188Bet
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sweden = 0.21 (league 1.90), Poland = 1.65 (league 1.42)

Poland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sweden 0 15.7% 25.8% 21.3% 11.7% 4.8% 1.6%
1 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 73.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1