Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Independencia
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.46)
1.07 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 28.8% | 33.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Managua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 10.6% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 87% |
| Attack | 72% | 39% |
| Defense | 89% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| Wins | 65% | 53% | 59% | 65% | 39% | 51% |
| Draws | 24% | 29% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 20% |
| Loses | 12% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 44% | 29% |
Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWLWLWWWDLWDWWDWWWW • Managua: WLDWLWWWLDWWWWLWWDWLDLLWDWLLDLDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 31 | 64 | 27 | 22 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Estelí | Managua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 59% | 77% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 21% | 37% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 6% | 14% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Estelí | Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Real Estelí or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 1.17 (league 1.46), Managua = 1.07 (league 1.00)
| Managua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 10.6% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 33.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1