Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.31)
1.14 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 32.0% | 50.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.4%
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| America-RN | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Laguna | 0 | 18.8% | 21.4% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
America-RN carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 128 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Laguna -21.5, America-RN +16.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Laguna
vs
America-RN
Elo gapAmerica-RN +128
Home / draw / away26% / 18% / 56%
Expected home share32%
Combined Elo3081.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3081.1
Elo home share
32%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1459.1 | 1622 |
| Form Elo | 1423.3 | 1661.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1507.4 | 1529.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1500.6 | 1565.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1451 | 1665.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.5 | +16.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Laguna last-5 Elo change: -21.5; America-RN last-5 Elo change: +16.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 67% |
| Attack | 7% | 29% |
| Defense | 50% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
LagunaDLL
America-RNWWL
League goals
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Laguna | America-RN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Laguna | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 19.2% | 80.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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