Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31)
0.34 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 42.4% | 15.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.1%
1 - 0
25.3%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Altos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Piauí | 0 | 33.1% | 11.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.3% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Piauí carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 61 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Piauí -7.4, Altos -11.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Piauí
vs
Altos
Elo gapPiauí +61
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3088.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3088.9
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Piauí | Altos |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1557.3 | 1531.6 |
| Form Elo | 1538.7 | 1518.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.3 | 1511.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1497.3 | 1499.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1559.3 | 1551.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -7.4 | -11.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Piauí last-5 Elo change: -7.4; Altos last-5 Elo change: -11.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Piauí | Altos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 33% | 7% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Piauí | Altos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
PiauíWDL
AltosDLW
League goals
| Metric | Piauí | Altos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Piauí | Altos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Piauí | Altos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Piauí | Altos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Piauí | Altos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Piauí | Altos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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