Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
King Abdullah Stadium
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.33)
0.50 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3% | 21.8% | 10.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Jazeera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Wihdat | 0 | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Al Wihdat carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 192 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Al Wihdat +51.4, Al Jazeera -9.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Al Wihdat
vs
Al Jazeera
Elo gapAl Wihdat +192
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo3135.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3135.4
Elo home share
75%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1646.3 | 1489.1 |
| Form Elo | 1669.5 | 1490.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1575.9 | 1499.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1702 | 1489.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1662.9 | 1462.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +51.4 | -9.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Al Wihdat last-5 Elo change: +51.4; Al Jazeera last-5 Elo change: -9.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 43% |
| Defense | 86% | 7% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
| Draws | 8% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 25% | 21% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
Al WihdatLWWDLWWWDWWLDWWLWLDWWWWW
Al JazeeraLLDWWLWLDLLDWLLWWDDWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 67% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 17% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 4% | 8% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 4% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-6 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Wihdat | Al Jazeera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 87% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 78.7% | 21.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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