Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.29)
0.57 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.0%
4 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Bataeh U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ain U23 | 0 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Al Ain U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 87 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Al Ain U23 +19.3, Al Bataeh U23 -11.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Al Ain U23
vs
Al Bataeh U23
Elo gapAl Ain U23 +87
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3035
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3035
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1543.3 | 1491.7 |
| Form Elo | 1560.7 | 1486.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1519.2 | 1496.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1506.5 | 1498.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1577.2 | 1494 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.3 | -11.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Al Ain U23 last-5 Elo change: +19.3; Al Bataeh U23 last-5 Elo change: -11.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 40% |
| Attack | 59% | 47% |
| Defense | 100% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 73% | 73% | 73% | 18% | 36% | 27% |
| Draws | 9% | 18% | 14% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Loses | 18% | 9% | 14% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
Al Ain U23WWLWLDWWDWWWWDWLWWWWWW
Al Bataeh U23LLLLWWLLLLLWDWLLWLDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 26 | 47 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 45% | 77% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 14% | 27% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 0% | 14% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 5% | 36% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 23% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-6 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ain U23 | Al Bataeh U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 74.0% | 26.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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