Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.29)
2.24 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 15.9% | 74.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 3
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Sharjah U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Wahda U23 | 0 | 6.5% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Al Wahda U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Al Wahda U23 +1.1, Al Sharjah U23 -2.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Al Wahda U23
vs
Al Sharjah U23
Elo gapAl Wahda U23 +66
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3024.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3024.1
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1527.4 | 1496.7 |
| Form Elo | 1541.1 | 1493 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.5 | 1502.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1519.9 | 1457.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1533.1 | 1537.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.1 | -2.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Al Wahda U23 last-5 Elo change: +1.1; Al Sharjah U23 last-5 Elo change: -2.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 24% | 47% |
| Defense | 65% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 10% | 58% | 36% | 58% | 60% | 59% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 18% | 25% | 10% | 18% |
| Loses | 50% | 42% | 45% | 17% | 30% | 23% |
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League goals
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 44 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 82% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 64% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 14% | 23% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-6 | 6-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Wahda U23 | Al Sharjah U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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