Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.49) 0.74 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 43.0% 41.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.9%
0 - 1
25.3%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bengaluru United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudeva 0 32.6% 25.2% 9.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Sudeva -14.0, Bengaluru United +22.1.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Sudeva Elo 1486 · -14.0
vs
Bengaluru United Elo 1525.1 · +22.1
Elo gapBengaluru United +4
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3011.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3011.1
Elo home share 49%
Match tone Strong Watch
Metric Sudeva Bengaluru United
Overall Elo14861525.1
Form Elo1473.61562.2
Home / Away Elo1498.21508.6
Attack Elo1481.81544.9
Defense Elo1505.71535.6
Last 5 Elo change-14.0+22.1

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Sudeva last-5 Elo change: -14.0; Bengaluru United last-5 Elo change: +22.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSudevaBengaluru United
Played44
Form33%67%
Attack15%31%
Defense77%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sudeva Bengaluru United
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%0%25%33%100%50%
Draws0%50%25%67%0%50%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%
SudevaDLLW
Bengaluru UnitedDDWW

League goals

Metric Sudeva Bengaluru United
HATHAT
GF total202314
GF avg1.00.00.51.01.01.0
GA total213202
GA avg1.00.50.80.70.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSudevaBengaluru United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%75%50%
1.50%25%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSudevaBengaluru United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricSudevaBengaluru United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSudevaBengaluru United
Wins00
Draws12
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-10-1
Biggest losses1-21-0——
Goals For1021
Goals Against2110

Model comparison

MetricSudevaBengaluru United
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals25%75%
Total36.2%63.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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