Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio Hernando Siles
Expected Goals
4.91 (league 2.04)
3.38 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.6% | 10.9% | 14.7% |
best score tips
4 - 3
3.9%
5 - 3
3.8%
4 - 2
3.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente Petrolero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bolívar | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 17% |
| Attack | 33% | 10% |
| Defense | 90% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 3.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
68%
FT probability
BTTS
89%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
BolívarWW
Independiente PetroleroLD
League goals
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 75.7% | 24.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.11 @ William Hill
Draw10.95 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.26 @ Betano
Under 2.54.60 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Bet365
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League standings
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