Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.05)
2.53 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4% | 8.6% | 86.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
24.3%
0 - 3
20.4%
0 - 1
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nacional Potosí | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blooming | 0 | 7.6% | 19.2% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Blooming carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 64 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Blooming -1.2, Nacional Potosí +17.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Blooming
vs
Nacional Potosí
Elo gapBlooming +64
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3083.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3083.5
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1556 | 1527.5 |
| Form Elo | 1550.6 | 1564.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1580 | 1501 |
| Attack Elo | 1704 | 1543.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1440.6 | 1508.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.2 | +17.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Blooming last-5 Elo change: -1.2; Nacional Potosí last-5 Elo change: +17.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 44% | 25% |
| Defense | 88% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 3.5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
BloomingWD
Nacional PotosíWW
League goals
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blooming | Nacional Potosí | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | — | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blooming | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.56 @ Unibet
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away5.16 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.10 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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