Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí

Primera División — Bolivia

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 23:30 • Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas

Not Started

home	draw	away
37.4%	32.6%	30.0%

		Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero	0	16.2%	13.6%	5.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
1	15.9%	13.3%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
2	7.7%	6.5%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
3	2.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Away edge

Real Potosí carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 79 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Oriente Petrolero -4.2, Real Potosí +3.5.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

Oriente Petrolero Elo 1454 · -4.2

Real Potosí Elo 1568.2 · +3.5

Elo gapReal Potosí +79

Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%

Expected home share39%

Combined Elo3022.2

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3022.2

Elo home share 39%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Oriente Petrolero	Real Potosí
Overall Elo	1454	1568.2
Form Elo	1435.1	1579.1
Home / Away Elo	1519.3	1502.6
Attack Elo	1518	1538.8
Defense Elo	1368.8	1605.5
Last 5 Elo change	-4.2	+3.5

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Oriente Petrolero last-5 Elo change: -4.2; Real Potosí last-5 Elo change: +3.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Oriente Petrolero	Real Potosí
Played	3	2
Form	33%	33%
Attack	13%	7%
Defense	73%	93%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.7	1 \| 0.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 1.3	1 \| 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%

FT probability

2.5+

40%

FT probability

3.5+

29%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Oriente Petrolero			Real Potosí
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	1	2	3	1	1	2
Wins	100%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Loses	0%	100%	67%	0%	0%	0%

Oriente PetroleroLWL

Real PotosíDD

League goals

Metric	Oriente Petrolero			Real Potosí
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	0	2	0	1	1
GF avg	2.0	0.0	0.7	0.0	1.0	0.5
GA total	1	3	4	0	1	1
GA avg	1.0	1.5	1.3	0.0	1.0	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Oriente Petrolero		Real Potosí
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	33%	100%	50%	50%
1.5	33%	33%	0%	0%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Oriente Petrolero			Real Potosí
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	2	2	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Oriente Petrolero	Real Potosí
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Oriente Petrolero	Real Potosí
Wins	1	0
Draws	0	2
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	—	—	—
Biggest losses	—	2-0	—	—
Goals For	2	0	0	1
Goals Against	1	2	0	1

Model comparison

Metric	Oriente Petrolero	Real Potosí
Form	60%	40%
Att	67%	33%
Def	20%	80%
Poisson Distribution	57%	43%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	57.0%	43.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí

Metric	Oriente Petrolero	Real Potosí
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí