Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Zabeel Stadium
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.45)
0.32 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.0% | 16.4% | 4.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.6%
1 - 0
19.0%
3 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Dibba Al-Fujairah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Wasl FC | 0 | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Al-Wasl FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 164 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Al-Wasl FC -22.8, Dibba Al-Fujairah -15.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Al-Wasl FC
vs
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Elo gapAl-Wasl FC +164
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo3051.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3051.1
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1590.1 | 1461 |
| Form Elo | 1576.8 | 1447.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1568.9 | 1495.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1625.5 | 1462.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1526.7 | 1412.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.8 | -15.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Al-Wasl FC last-5 Elo change: -22.8; Dibba Al-Fujairah last-5 Elo change: -15.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 37% | 26% |
| Defense | 63% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 27% | 45% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
| Loses | 9% | 45% | 27% | 55% | 64% | 59% |
Al-Wasl FCWLDWWWDDWWDLWLDWDLLWLW
Dibba Al-FujairahLLLLDLDDLLWWLLWLDLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 18 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 68% | 73% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 9% | 5% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Wasl FC | Dibba Al-Fujairah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.23 @ Betano
Draw6.63 @ Pinnacle
Away12.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Betano
No1.85 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…