Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 14:30 •
Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.12)
0.62 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 38.7% | 26.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| CA Bizertin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympique Béja | 0 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
CA Bizertin carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olympique Béja +2.6, CA Bizertin +27.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Olympique Béja
vs
CA Bizertin
Elo gapCA Bizertin +82
Home / draw / away30% / 21% / 49%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo2936.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2936.8
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1409.9 | 1526.9 |
| Form Elo | 1414.1 | 1542.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.9 | 1459.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1350.9 | 1443.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1443.3 | 1586.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.6 | +27.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Olympique Béja last-5 Elo change: +2.6; CA Bizertin last-5 Elo change: +27.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 38% | 63% |
| Defense | 13% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 31% | 17% | 24% | 50% | 15% | 32% |
| Draws | 23% | 8% | 16% | 42% | 31% | 36% |
| Loses | 46% | 75% | 60% | 8% | 54% | 32% |
Olympique BéjaLDLDLLLWLWLLLWLDLWLWLDLWL
CA BizertinDDLWWLWDLLWLDLDLWLWDDWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 19 | 16 | 35 | 5 | 16 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 32% | 72% | 48% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 40% | 12% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 16% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olympique Béja | CA Bizertin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…