Brasileiro U20 B — Brazil
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Ceará U20

—

Atlético Mineiro U20

Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.80) 0.05 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 33.1% 1.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
34.8%
0 - 0
31.3%
2 - 0
19.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Mineiro U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceará U20 0 31.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Ceará U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ceará U20 +36.0, Atlético Mineiro U20 +8.8.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Ceará U20 Elo 1589.8 · +36.0
vs
Atlético Mineiro U20 Elo 1588.4 · +8.8
Elo gapCeará U20 +36
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo3178.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3178.2
Elo home share 55%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Ceará U20 Atlético Mineiro U20
Overall Elo1589.81588.4
Form Elo16431610.1
Home / Away Elo1542.51486.5
Attack Elo1676.51723.8
Defense Elo15791542.1
Last 5 Elo change+36.0+8.8

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ceará U20 last-5 Elo change: +36.0; Atlético Mineiro U20 last-5 Elo change: +8.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeará U20Atlético Mineiro U20
Played33
Form100%67%
Attack54%31%
Defense100%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 2.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceará U20 Atlético Mineiro U20
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%100%100%100%0%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%
Ceará U20WWW
Atlético Mineiro U20LWW

League goals

Metric Ceará U20 Atlético Mineiro U20
HATHAT
GF total257404
GF avg2.02.52.32.00.01.3
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeará U20Atlético Mineiro U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%67%33%
1.5100%0%33%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeará U20Atlético Mineiro U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCeará U20Atlético Mineiro U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCeará U20Atlético Mineiro U20
Wins30
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-0—
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For2330
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricCeará U20Atlético Mineiro U20
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total51.8%48.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Ceará U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20